The Black Swan

The Impact of the Highly Improbable

• Author(s): Nassim Nicholas Taleb,
• Publisher: Penguin UK
• Pages: 400
• ISBN_10: 0141906200
  ISBN_13: 9780141906201
  
• Language: en
• Categories: Philosophy / Epistemology , Business & Economics / Finance / Financial Risk Management , Business & Economics / Economics / Theory , Business & Economics / Decision-Making & Problem Solving , Mathematics / Probability & Statistics / General , Mathematics / Game Theory ,

Description:...

The phenomenal international bestseller that shows us how to stop trying to predict everything - and take advantage of uncertainty

What have the invention of the wheel, Pompeii, the Wall Street Crash, Harry Potter and the internet got in common? Why are all forecasters con-artists? Why should you never run for a train or read a newspaper?

This book is all about Black Swans: the random events that underlie our lives, from bestsellers to world disasters. Their impact is huge; they're impossible to predict; yet after they happen we always try to rationalize them.

'Taleb is a bouncy and even exhilarating guide ... I came to relish what he said, and even develop a sneaking affection for him as a person' Will Self, Independent on Sunday

'He leaps like some superhero of the mind' Boyd Tonkin, Independent