Flood Risk Change

A Complexity Perspective

• Author(s): Andreas Paul Zischg,
• Publisher: Elsevier Science
• Pages: 314
• ISBN_10: 0128220112
  ISBN_13: 9780128220115
  
• Language: en
• Categories: Science / Earth Sciences / Geography , Science / Earth Sciences / Geology , Science / Earth Sciences / Hydrology ,

Description:... Front Cover -- Flood Risk Change -- Flood Risk Change: A Complexity Perspective -- Copyright -- Contents -- Preface -- 1- Introduction -- References -- 2 - Key drivers of flood risk change -- Principles of flood risk analysis -- Environmental changes -- Environmental changes in the upstream catchment -- Dams, reservoirs, and regulated lakes -- Land use changes at catchment scale -- Changes in the glacial and periglacial environment -- Natural climate variability -- Environmental changes in the floodplain -- Changes in river morphology at reach scale -- Climate changes -- Socioeconomic changes -- Coevolution of key drivers of change -- References -- 3 - Disentangling drivers of change -- Analysis and modeling framework -- Simulations driven by global and regional climate models -- Sensitivity analysis and scenario-neutral approaches -- The storyline approach -- The retromodel experiment approach -- Quantifying the isolated effects of drivers of change with model experiments -- The Kander river deviation of 1714 AD and its effects on hydrological change -- History of the Kander river deviation -- A cascade of unintended consequences -- Anthropogenic interventions following the Kander river deviation -- Model experiment setup for quantifying the cumulative effects of human interventions to river systems on flood risk change -- The coupled hydrological-hydraulic model -- Reconstruction of the historic natural river morphology -- The human dimension of hydrological change -- Analyzing the cumulative effects of river training measures on flood impacts -- Hydrodynamic model -- Flood inundation of recent flood events on a counterfactual river morphology -- Defining extreme rainfall scenarios -- The cumulative effects of human interventions to the river system on the hydrology of probable maximum floods.