Fund Managers, Career Concerns, and Asset Price Volatility
Description:... This is a print on demand edition of a hard to find publication. Proposes a general equilibrium model where investors hire fund managers (FM) to invest their capital either in a risky bond or in a riskless asset. There is a small fraction of informed FM with superior info. on the default probability. Looking at the past performance, investors update their beliefs on the info. of their FM and make hiring and firing decisions. This leads to career concerns which affect the investment decision of un-informed FM, generating a ¿reputational premium¿. When the default probability is high enough, un-informed FM prefer to invest in the riskless asset to reduce the probability of being fired. On the contrary, if the probability of default is low enough, investing in the risky bonds has a reputational advantage and the premium is negative.
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